", NZ Skeptics chairman Mark Honeychurch. “He paints more than half of the time between the start of January and the end of March as earthquake risk,” says Mr Winter (see Mr Winter’s graph on the right – red equals earthquake). NZ Herald Home. “Frankly, what Mr Ring is doing is no better than people crying fire without cause in a packed stadium or picture theatre.” He says Mr Ring is the “very embodiment of… cargo cult science – someone who does some of the things scientists do, but fails in the most defining characteristic by not honestly testing his theories against data”. The Secretary of Defence, Helene Quilter, responded with a brief letter saying the ministry did not hold any information about supposed geo-engineering, weather modification or man-made earthquakes and had no reason to believe the information requested was held by any other government organisation. May will see the last of winter frosts and some fine weather but cool" - Ken Ring reveals his weather predictions for 2019. Unlike traditional meteorological services, Ring claims to be able to predict the weather years in advance (rather than the standard three-day window where a weather forecast is considered likely to be accurate). It’s not often such extravagant claims are made in the mainstream, let alone get the following Mr Ring has corralled in recent weeks. "There's actually no way humans could set off earthquakes like that," Ristau said. On November 18 he suggested the Auckland Santa Parade should move from the planned date of November 28 to December 5, as it’s going to be “wet wet wet”. More ominously, the report is that Russian scientists have confirmed the independent analysis of New Zealand mathematician and long-term weather trends forecaster Ken Ring, who predicted the deadly earthquake in Christchurch (N. Zealand), and this week issued a new warning that the new earthquake should strike around 20 March. Gray during one of his seminars. People who claim to be able to predict earthquakes are not unique to New Zealand. GeoNet seismologist John Ristau said large earthquakes regularly struck in the South Pacific. Well, after March 20, according to Mr Ring, it won’t be over. In fact, it was Galileo that developed much of what we now call the ‘scientific method’. Premium Auckland Wellington Christchurch. Auckland-born weatherman Ken Ring has made his latest predictions for the coming Northern winter, forecasting a white December for Ireland. Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity… Should we evacuate an area every time the moon is on its closest approach, is full or new, is moving rapidly, is at its maximum declination or is crossing the equator?” Ring has backed out of the limelight in recent times and did not respond to requests for an interview. He’s become a household name in New Zealand. Meanwhile when ken ring nz earthquakes prediction 2019 It looks and sounds … At the time, Gray told media his intention wasn't to scaremonger. Does the fact Canterbury shook again five and a half months later prove his methods are correct? Even the world's top seismologists didn't entirely understand the physics of earthquakes - something that was necessary to predict quakes. The Port Hills were heavily affected in February, ending up a metre taller than they were before. Ring claims he predicted the Christchurch 2011 quake. To some, Mr Ring is a prophet, a man whose ideas have been shunned by the establishment like those of Galileo. In the prolonged drought of 1862, Jupiter and Saturn lined up on one side of the sun in that year. On February 27, Mr Ring said a “jolt” was “possible” in Christchurch between 3pm and 4pm. With his dubious track record though, one could hope he singles out popular doomsday date December 21, 2012 for his next ‘prediction’. How far in advance? Dr Mark Quigley, senior lecturer in active tectonics and geomorphology at Canterbury University, says Mr Ring’s March 20 warning is “opportunistic and meaningless self-promotion during a time of national crisis”. That’s 230 out of 365 days that fall on some day that he would argue influences earthquake activity. In order to predict an earthquake, the person needed to give the date, the location (more specific than South Pacific), and a magnitude, he said. Ken Ring offers services for farmers, councils or corporates, weather for a family reunion or a single forecast week to week. According to his Facebook page, Ring has been unwell recently and is taking some time off. KEN RING'S EARTHQUAKE WARNING FOR 20 MARCH 2011 IN NZ. On November 6, 2016, Nigel Antony Gray posted a "heads up" about a major earthquake on his Facebook page. The techniques Gray used in his life improvement seminars are based on Scientology. While Gray may be the newest kid on the block, he's not the first Kiwi to claim he can predict earthquakes. “Certainty as to a particular event or outcome just cannot be achieved. Well, only if his other predictions are also on the money – otherwise he just got lucky. nzherald.co.nz Wednesday, 18 November 2020 According to NZPA, a group of geologists, alongside earthquake engineers, skeptics, Dr Smith and host of TV3’s The Nation,Sean Plunket, will be having lunch on the Port Hills(pictured right) to quell “unfounded fears”. In the end the parallels between the shonky earthquake predictor who terrified the US Midwest in 1990 and Ken Ring currently putting a ring around March 20 on his calendar are incredibly strong. But it’s perhaps worth noting that for Galileo, way back in the early 17th Century, the establishment which repressed his ideas and sentenced him to house arrest was the Roman Inquisition – at the behest of the Catholic Church –not his fellow scientists. While most shrugged off the December 13 prediction, and wrote the November 14 forecast off as good luck, some took the prediction seriously and got to work stocking up. Ken Ring’s weather forecast for Ireland for 2020 - Advertisement - This year may see higher rainfall totals than normal, according to Kiwi long-range weather forecaster, Ken Ring. So is there any validity at all to his moon-based methods, or is it just lunacy? Long-range Kiwi weather guru - Ken Ring - is predicting that snow will arrive in Ireland after Christmas and into January - the last part of which is dry and freezing. This message was followed by the prediction about the earthquake: In 3 to 4.. the earthquake is coming.. soon.. its big. He has been advertising his seminars, along with other Scientology-related events and programmes, to his 30,000 Facebook followers. Now Takapau man Nigel Gray is giving Ring some competition. The facts on 7-11-17: Reported by Washington Post –“WELLINGTON, New Zealand — A strong earthquake struck Tuesday in the ocean south of New Zealand’s main islands, but there were no reports of serious damage or injuries and there was no threat of a tsunami. Thousands of people fled the city in fear. To put things into perspective: The Kaikoura quake released 2600 times as much energy as every nuclear weapon ever detonated. While Gray has become a popular character among those who favour alternative theories, he doesn't have any qualifications in the field of seismology, or related scientific fields. "As a Painting Trade Contractor I have spent several years checking the weather reports, almost daily, on a need-to-know basis," Gray wrote in an online post. "If you make enough predictions, eventually you're going to get lucky," he said. In the year after the M7.8 Kaikōura earthquake there were over 20,000 aftershocks. His so-called prediction was picked up by international media, including the Daily Mail, the Sun and the Mirror in the UK. "Unfortunately Gray believes in so many different ideas that are not only far fetched but at times also contradict each other, it's hard to work out how the dots connect.". end quote. Over late December, and throughout January, Queensland suffered some of the worst flooding in its history, resulting in 35 deaths (Toowoomba, pictured right, was hit hard). Instead he posted on Facebook as to why he would not be interviewed by mainstream media. “Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Ristau said in his opinion there was "no credibility" in linking moon or lunar phases to earthquakes. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict either the July or August 2011 extreme polar blasts that hit NZ. On December 1, Gray submitted an Official Information Act request to the Ministry of Defence: "I would like to know if you have attempted to investigate warfare or terrorism being conducted on New Zealand by means of geo-engineering (creating earthquakes) or weather modification?". ... in the UK, tornados, extreme weather events around the world and stronger activity in the Pacific Ocean around the Ring of Fire. On his personal Facebook pages he had posted articles about conspiracies ranging from topics such as chemtrails (spraying of chemicals from commercial airliners), fluoride, 1080 and glyphosate, through to "wacky ideas" such as the moon landings being faked and Michelle Obama being born a man, Honeychurch said. READ MORE: * Earthquake: there's no evidence the moon causes quakes * Why quakes weren't caused by seismic blasting or 'unzipping' faultline. On October 21, Frankie MacDonald of Nova Scotia, Canada, uploaded a video to YouTube called 'Massive Earthquake to Hit New Zealand Anytime Soon'. “We are too impressed by occasional ‘hits’ and tend to forget the many ‘misses’ which outweigh them.” Many people have emailed 3 News and written comments mentioning Galileo, and how his ultimately true idea the Earth went around the Sun, and not the other way around, was rejected by the establishment at the time. Dr Smith told the National Business Review that Mr Ring’s predictions are “mumbo-jumbo nonsense”. It was not unusual to see people like Ring or Gray come out of the woodwork when an event like the Christchurch or Kaikoura earthquake happened. Gray did not respond to requests for comment. Moon man Ken Ring has been forced into hiding after receiving death threats. Ring publishes almanacs each year for New Zealand, Australia and Ireland in which he provides weather predictions for the entire year. The Beautiful Teachings of Sufism and the Sufi Saints. “Even if the moon is sometimes the straw that breaks the camels back at a particular fault, you couldn’t use the moon to predict an earthquake unless you already new a fault was about to go,” says Mr Winter, “i.e the moon could only predict earthquakes when you could already predict an earthquake.” There had been examples of very small quakes being caused by fracking in the United States but the government had no means of creating a significant quake. GeoNet's Ristau said it was impossible for man to create a quake like that experienced on November 14. New Zealand will drop down into alert level 2 at midnight, freeing up restrictions on what you can do and where you can go from tomorrow. What therefore may happen, can only be described in terms of risks and probability.” nzherald.co.nz. Many of his supporters would argue Mr Ring, who prefers to call his predictions “opinions”, is only warning of elevated risks – but do they stack up against the evidence? On Tuesday, Mr Ring predicted “potential for serious earthquake activity today in Japan”, four days after the massive 9.0 Sendai quake that triggered destructive tsunamis along the coast of Japan. The exact magnitude, epicenter, and depth of the quake might be revised within the next few hours or minutes as seismologists review data and refine their calculations, or as other agencies issue their report. He now has about 30,000 followers on the renamed Spiritual Awareness New Zealand. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict March 2012 weather bomb that hit much of the lower North Island. Ring, who predicted the deadly Christchurch earthquake and Ireland’s arctic winter in 2010, also forecast the country’s record-breaking July heat wave with uncanny accuracy back in January. Gary's posted pictures of himself online, and on his consultancy website, with a bookcase full of scientology materials, worth thousands of dollars. NZ Skeptic's Vicki Hyde. The 55-year-old claimed the supermoon made a large earthquake a possibility. Ken Ring: Can he actually predict earthquakes? He told That’s Farming that due to heavy rain, winds and a high tide, mid-January may be subject to floods in the northwest and south. Ristau said it took a lot of training and experience to understand earthquakes. Ken Ring's Almanac failed to predict the extreme weather event which struck Hobsonville, Auckland on Dec 6th, 2012. He terms his predictions "alternative weather" and has authored books about the weather and climate. In 2018 there were 4305 aftershocks, and in 2019 there were 3400 aftershocks, within the aftershock forecast area shown in the map below. He says his career as a painter makes him qualified to comment on weather, earthquakes and geo-engineering (we'll get to this soon). Consider this: Ken Ring’s probability of getting a prediction correct based on perigee/apogee new moon/full moon for 2010 was 63 percent. Hyde said Ring made general predictions and waited until an event happened then drew a target around it. He claims the New Zealand Government is not only controlling our weather (using chemtrails and chembombs) but also creating earthquakes using a microwave transmission installation called HAARP (High Frequency Active Auroral Research Program). The world's top seismologists are yet to figure out how to predict earthquakes but a couple of Kiwi amateurs reckon they've cracked the code. But not all – there was no mention of the September 4 quake until September 8, when he said there would be another “coming in six months”. Pictures of blue sky and what Gray and his followers refer to as chemtrails are peppered throughout his Facebook feed. Ring believes that around mid-June, temperatures will fall mostly below normal with several nights of ground frosts during the third week. CREDIT: FAIRFAX NZ. Ken "Moon man" Ring is well known in New Zealand, with his wide-brimmed hat and moon-related earthquake predictions. The Missouri man now has 185,000 subscribers to his YouTube channel, as well as multiple Facebook pages and a website dedicated to his predictions. Weak frontal systems will bring cloud and patchy light rain at times. The Alpine Fault runs almost the entire length of the South Island. Campbell said he believed Ring was causing unnecessary fear, when the people of Christchurch had been through enough. 3 News weather presenter Mike Hall reported that evening it was a “springtime Sunday well worthy of summer”, and Auckland was going to have “another fine and warm one” the following day. 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